Swindon Town 2-0 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

Swindon Town
2-0 HT 2-0
Bradford City
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Swindon Town vs Bradford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.01
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
25.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
10%
6.77
X/2
17%
4.48
X/X
10%
4.71
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
14%
2.82
2/X
9%
13.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swindon Town v Bradford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -19%
1.28/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.93
+20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 69%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
15.4 Crosses 20.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Swindon Town vs Bradford City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bradford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.61 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 Passes 264
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
18.04.2023 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
25.10.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
05.03.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-2 HT 1-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
23.10.2021 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
04.01.2020 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2

Swindon Town 2-0 Bradford City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swindon Town
2-0
AWAY Bradford City
1.10 xG 0.71
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
252 Passes 266
64% Pass Accuracy 64%
31 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swindon Town vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Town beat Bradford City 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bradford City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Swindon Town had 48% of the ball to Bradford City's 52%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 1.10 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Swindon Town and 1.17 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Bradford City?

Swindon Town 2-0 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 33%, draw 26%, Bradford City 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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