Bradford City 1-0 Swindon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 14 Dec 2024

Bradford City
1-0 HT 1-0
Swindon Town
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Bradford City vs Swindon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.02
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
16.2
X/1
13%
3.82
X/2
8%
10.85
X/X
13%
5.68
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
11%
8.46
2/X
5%
16.9
Value flag · 1/X at 16.2 — our 9% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bradford City v Swindon Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -7%
1.73/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.69
-21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 71%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
25.7 Crosses 17.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Bradford City vs Swindon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Swindon Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
257 Passes 343
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Swindon Town Swindon Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
07.10.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
18.04.2023 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
25.10.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
05.03.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-2 HT 1-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
23.10.2021 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Bradford City Bradford City İN2

Bradford City 1-0 Swindon Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
1-0
AWAY Swindon Town
1.18 xG 0.08
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
250 Passes 188
64% Pass Accuracy 54%
19 Box Touches 3
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Swindon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City nicked a narrow win over Swindon Town 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bradford City had 53% of the ball to Swindon Town's 47%, shots finished 7-3, expected goals 1.18 to 0.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bradford City and 1.17 for Swindon Town.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Swindon Town?

Bradford City 1-0 Swindon Town in the England - 2nd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Swindon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 47%, draw 28%, Swindon Town 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Over 2.5
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