Norrköping 0-2 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
52%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.68
No
38%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.07
2-3 Goals
35%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
3.15
6+ Goals
16%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.36
1/2
10%
21.55
1/X
5%
15.4
X/1
10%
9.68
X/2
16%
4.35
X/X
8%
5.6
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.16
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.9pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.1pp
52%
Away Win
55%
-2.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.9pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 59%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.18/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.15
+32% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.3
15.9 Crosses 19.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.98 xG 2.23
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
356 Passes 422
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 37
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.07.2025 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-1 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
17.08.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 1-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
30.03.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-5 HT 0-3 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
10.03.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 5-2 HT 1-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
29.10.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 0-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
24.04.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
0-2
AWAY Malmö FF
0.82 xG 1.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
377 Passes 349
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF beat Norrköping 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Norrköping had 52% of the ball to Malmö FF's 48%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 0.82 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Norrköping and 3.17 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Malmö FF?

Norrköping 0-2 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 29%, draw 18%, Malmö FF 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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