Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atletico Madrid v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid found just enough to beat Osasuna 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 46% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.66, roughly 60%.
On the day, possession split 59% to 41% in Atletico Madrid's favour, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.58 to 1.14 — on chances created, Atletico Madrid won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Atletico Madrid against 1.00 for Osasuna.
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Result & Final Score
Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 73%, draw 17%, Osasuna 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.