Triestina vs Pergolettese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Triestina v Pergolettese — Team-Based Signals
Triestina vs Pergolettese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Triestina 1-1 Pergolettese — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Triestina and Pergolettese with a point apiece.
A gentle 45% lean on Triestina didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.72, about 58%.
Under the surface, possession split 53% to 47% in Triestina's favour, shots finished 7-13.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Triestina against 0.83 for Pergolettese.
Triestina vs Pergolettese Result & Final Score
Triestina 1-1 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Triestina vs Pergolettese Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Triestina 45%, draw 27%, Pergolettese 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Triestina) went the other way.