Triestina 0-0 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
20.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 36% vs market 31.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 22%
-16% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.35/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.41
-15% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
282 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pergolettese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-0 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
28.01.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
19.09.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-1 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
22.04.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-2 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
17.12.2022 Triestina Triestina 1-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
17.03.2022 Triestina Triestina 1-2 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
0-0
AWAY Pergolettese
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina and Pergolettese fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Triestina had 59% of the ball to Pergolettese's 41%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pergolettese led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Triestina and 1.17 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Pergolettese?

Triestina 0-0 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Triestina 45%, draw 30%, Pergolettese 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Triestina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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