Atalanta II 2-2 Vicenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
11%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 33% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+8.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vicenza EU Bookmakers 52%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
0.82/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.03
-22% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
195 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Vicenza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Vicenza Vicenza 3-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
18.08.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-2 HT 1-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTCK
10.02.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-2 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
30.09.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 3-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
2-2
AWAY Vicenza
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Vicenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II and Vicenza couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vicenza at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atalanta II had 43% of the ball to Vicenza's 57%, shots finished 14-19.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vicenza led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atalanta II and 2.50 for Vicenza.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Vicenza?

Atalanta II 2-2 Vicenza in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Vicenza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 33%, draw 24%, Vicenza 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vicenza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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