Padova Calcio 3-0 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
35%
1.71
4-5 Goals
25%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.76/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.16
+1% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
4W-2D-0L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-2 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
15.03.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
11.11.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
19.03.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-3 HT 1-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
19.11.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-2 HT 1-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
13.03.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-2 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
3-0
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio ran out comfortable winners over AlbinoLeffe 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 55% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 45%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Padova Calcio and 0.83 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs AlbinoLeffe?

Padova Calcio 3-0 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 50%, draw 25%, AlbinoLeffe 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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