Lumezzane 1-1 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.66
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.1pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.2pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.23/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.63
-5% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +94%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alcione
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Alcione 1-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
1-1
AWAY Alcione
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane and Alcione couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Lumezzane had 58% of the ball to Alcione's 42%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Alcione?

Lumezzane 1-1 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 39%, draw 33%, Alcione 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lumezzane), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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