Arzignano Valchiampo 3-1 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
0.95/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.31
-27% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-3 HT 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
17.12.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 3-1 HT 2-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
02.04.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
01.12.2022 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 HT 0-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
3-1
AWAY Pro Vercelli
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo beat Pro Vercelli 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arzignano Valchiampo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 49% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 51%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arzignano Valchiampo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 0.75 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Vercelli?

Arzignano Valchiampo 3-1 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 43%, draw 31%, Pro Vercelli 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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