The Strongest 3-1 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
66%
+1.9pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.8pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Strongest EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.55/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.70
+10% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 74%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
20.8 Crosses 14.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The Strongest
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.77 xG 1.03
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 Passes 187
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
01.12.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-2 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
05.08.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 5-0 HT 2-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
18.07.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.02.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-4 HT 0-3 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
13.09.2021 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The Strongest
3-1
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
2.54 xG 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
181 Passes 213
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest saw off Independiente Petrolero 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had The Strongest as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, The Strongest had 48% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 52%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.54 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The Strongest had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for The Strongest and 0.50 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?

The Strongest 3-1 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split The Strongest 68%, draw 18%, Independiente Petrolero 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Strongest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The Strongest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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