Lee Man 1-0 Eastern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.81
No
40%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-9.8pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.0pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.7pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lee Man EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.90/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.07
+6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lee Man
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Eastern
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Lee Man Lee Man 2-1 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
16.02.2025 Eastern Eastern 3-4 HT 1-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
06.10.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 1-2 HT 0-1 Eastern Eastern HK1
16.03.2024 Eastern Eastern 1-1 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
28.10.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
18.03.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lee Man
1-0
AWAY Eastern
70% Ball Possession 30%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lee Man vs Eastern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man squeezed past Eastern 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lee Man had 70% of the ball to Eastern's 30%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lee Man and 1.50 for Eastern.

What was the final score of Lee Man vs Eastern?

Lee Man 1-0 Eastern in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lee Man vs Eastern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 64%, draw 21%, Eastern 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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