Correcaminos UAT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.42/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.20
-1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
21.02.2025 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-1 HT 3-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
08.09.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
14.02.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-0 HT 2-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
23.07.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
17.04.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
16.09.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-2 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Correcaminos UAT
1-0
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT edged past Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Correcaminos UAT found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Correcaminos UAT had 58% of the ball to Dorados De Sinaloa's 42%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.50 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Correcaminos UAT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Correcaminos UAT win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 40%, draw 28%, Dorados De Sinaloa 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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