Leones Negros Udeg vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leones Negros Udeg v Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Team-Based Signals
Leones Negros Udeg vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 4-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
2-2
HT 0-0
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
0-0
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
Leones Negros Udeg 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Actual Match Statistics
Alebrijes de Oaxaca nicked a narrow win over Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 away from home.
This one beat our numbers. Leones Negros Udeg carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Leones Negros Udeg had 64% of the ball to Alebrijes de Oaxaca's 36%, shots finished 15-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.00 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Leones Negros Udeg 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 63%, draw 19%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 18%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.