Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancun FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Cancun FC — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancun FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Cancun FC
MEK2
1-0
HT 0-0
Cancun FC
MEK2
1-2
HT 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-2 Cancun FC — Actual Match Statistics
Cancun FC squeezed past Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Tepatitlán de Morelos at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tepatitlán de Morelos had 66% of the ball to Cancun FC's 34%, shots finished 17-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.00 for Cancun FC.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancun FC?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-2 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancun FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 54%, draw 23%, Cancun FC 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.