OFK Beograd 4-0 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.58/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.06
+12% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.7 Crosses 19.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Beograd
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.38 xG 0.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
310 Passes 232
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-2 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
31.08.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-3 HT 1-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
08.03.2015 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
4-0
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
3.66 xG 0.71
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
430 Passes 240
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd swept aside Napredak Krusevac 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had OFK Beograd as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 61% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 39%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 3.66 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, OFK Beograd had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for OFK Beograd and 1.00 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac?

OFK Beograd 4-0 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 45%, draw 23%, Napredak Krusevac 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFK Beograd), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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