Backa Topola 0-1 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
58%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
59%
Away Win
53%
+5.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 57%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.35/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.15
+30% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
17.5 Crosses 18.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Partizan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.57 xG 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-2 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
02.04.2025 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRBK
29.03.2025 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
03.11.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-2 HT 0-2 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
28.04.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-2 HT 1-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
25.11.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-4 HT 0-3 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
0-1
AWAY FK Partizan
2.23 xG 0.77
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
323 Passes 285
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan edged past Backa Topola 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Backa Topola had 53% of the ball to FK Partizan's 47%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.23 to 0.77 — on chances, Backa Topola could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Backa Topola and 0.67 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs FK Partizan?

Backa Topola 0-1 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 22%, draw 20%, FK Partizan 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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