Charlotte Independence 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.53/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.25
+13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.3 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.97 xG 1.38
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
354 Passes 306
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
29.03.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
17.07.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-2 HT 0-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
15.06.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 4-2 HT 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
10.09.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
25.06.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-2 HT 0-2 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Independence
1-2
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.05 xG 1.05
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 9
402 Passes 186
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 16
38 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves edged past Charlotte Independence 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Charlotte Independence at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Charlotte Independence had 66% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 34%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.05 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte Independence had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Charlotte Independence and 0.83 for Chattanooga Red Wolves.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Charlotte Independence 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 43%, draw 22%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlotte Independence) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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