CD Tapatio 2-2 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.81
No
64%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
51%
-15.0pp
64%
BTTS No
49%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
0.91/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.14
-23% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
15.11.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-2 HT 1-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
27.07.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
23.02.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
12.10.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-4 HT 1-3 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
13.03.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-3 HT 1-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
01.08.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio and Leones Negros Udeg shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Leones Negros Udeg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.83 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Leones Negros Udeg?

CD Tapatio 2-2 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 30%, draw 28%, Leones Negros Udeg 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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