Galatasaray 1-0 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 18 Dec 2025

📅18/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
2.61
Over Pick
70%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.51
No
39%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
13%
5.67
2-3
42%
2.04
4-5
33%
2.57
6+
12%
5.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.92
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
14.9
X/1
19%
4.41
X/2
7%
11.3
X/X
11%
7.21
2/1
4%
18.8
2/2
9%
7.91
2/X
4%
16.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.8 — our 4% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Galatasaray The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK The Market 22%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.35 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.21
0.97 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.01
Average Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 79%
33 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.13 xG 0.94
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
346 Passes 270
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2025 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
30.05.2025 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
12.01.2025 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
08.01.2025 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
10.02.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 2-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
23.09.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
1 - 0
AWAY Başakşehir FK
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Galatasaray vs Başakşehir FK
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Galatasaray found just enough to beat Başakşehir FK 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Başakşehir FK saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 13-10.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Galatasaray against 0.83 for Başakşehir FK.

Galatasaray vs Başakşehir FK Result & Final Score

Galatasaray 1 - 0 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Cup on 18/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Galatasaray vs Başakşehir FK Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 63%, draw 19%, Başakşehir FK 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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