Everton 3-2 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 19 Jan 2025

Everton
3-2 HT 3-0
Tottenham
📅19/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Everton vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 26% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.52
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.1
X/1
19%
5.68
X/2
11%
6.16
X/X
14%
4.62
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
17%
4.0
2/X
6%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -26%
1.31/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.80
-25% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 81%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
22.2 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Everton vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Tottenham
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.16 xG 1.88
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
296 Passes 502
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 4-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
03.02.2024 Everton Everton 2-2 HT 1-2 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
23.12.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
03.04.2023 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
15.10.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
07.03.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 5-0 HT 3-0 Everton Everton İNP

Everton 3-2 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
3-2
AWAY Tottenham
1.95 xG 1.12
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
269 Passes 528
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Everton vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton squeezed past Tottenham 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Everton found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Everton had 35% of the ball to Tottenham's 65%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.95 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Everton and 2.67 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Everton vs Tottenham?

Everton 3-2 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Everton 36%, draw 28%, Tottenham 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tottenham), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
19 Jan 2025
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