Tottenham 4-0 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.12
2-3 Goals
40%
2.08
4-5 Goals
28%
2.56
6+ Goals
15%
5.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.0
X/1
24%
3.76
X/2
7%
15.8
X/X
9%
8.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.5
2/2
8%
10.85
2/X
6%
18.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.5 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-9.8pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.2pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.90/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.92
-4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
452 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.6 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Everton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.59 xG 1.09
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
488 Passes 322
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Everton Everton 2-2 HT 1-2 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
23.12.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
03.04.2023 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
15.10.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
07.03.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 5-0 HT 3-0 Everton Everton İNP
07.11.2021 Everton Everton 0-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
4-0
AWAY Everton
2.43 xG 1.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 5
540 Passes 188
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham ran out comfortable winners over Everton 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tottenham had 70% of the ball to Everton's 30%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.43 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tottenham and 0.67 for Everton.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Everton?

Tottenham 4-0 Everton in the England - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 58%, draw 21%, Everton 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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