Manchester City 4-1 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.17
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
8.43
2-3 Goals
38%
2.36
4-5 Goals
28%
2.37
6+ Goals
14%
4.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
11%
3.58
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
8%
15.35
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
4%
34.5
2/X
4%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
82%
-12.4pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.3pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.05/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.46
+34% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -4%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
499 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
45.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.4 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
07.05.2001 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
25.11.2000 Manchester City Manchester City 2-3 HT 0-2 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City
4-1
AWAY Ipswich Town
3.34 xG 0.29
75% Ball Possession 25%
14 Total Shots 1
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
700 Passes 200
93% Pass Accuracy 82%
50 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manchester City vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City cruised past Ipswich Town 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Manchester City had 75% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 25%, shots finished 14-1, expected goals 3.34 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ipswich Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Manchester City and 2.50 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?

Manchester City 4-1 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 70%, draw 18%, Ipswich Town 12%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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