Fulham vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fulham v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals
Fulham vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-3
HT 3-0
Leicester City
İNP
0-1
HT 0-1
Fulham
İNP
0-2
HT 0-2
Leicester City
İNP
1-2
HT 0-2
Fulham
İNP
3-1
HT 1-0
Fulham
İNP
1-1
HT 1-0
Leicester City
İNP
Fulham 2-1 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics
Fulham nicked a narrow win over Leicester City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fulham as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Fulham had 54% of the ball to Leicester City's 46%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.78 to 0.61.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fulham and 1.67 for Leicester City.
What was the final score of Fulham vs Leicester City?
Fulham 2-1 Leicester City in the England - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fulham vs Leicester City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fulham 44%, draw 24%, Leicester City 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.