Crystal Palace 0-2 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.33
2-3 Goals
33%
1.88
4-5 Goals
30%
2.97
6+ Goals
15%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
18%
4.54
X/2
9%
7.85
X/X
10%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.85
2/2
7%
5.35
2/X
8%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -24%
1.51/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.93
+3% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.7 Crosses 17.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
4W-1D-1L
AWAY West Ham United
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.72 xG 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
432 Passes 327
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-1 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United HAZ
21.04.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5-2 HT 4-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
03.12.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
29.04.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4-3 HT 3-2 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
06.11.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 1-2 HT 1-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
01.01.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-3 HT 0-3 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
0-2
AWAY West Ham United
1.35 xG 1.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
454 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United saw off Crystal Palace 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Crystal Palace at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 58% of the ball to West Ham United's 42%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.35 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.83 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs West Ham United?

Crystal Palace 0-2 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 54%, draw 24%, West Ham United 22%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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