Lugo 1-4 Cultural Leonesa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.45
Over
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
36%
1.97
2-3
36%
1.77
4-5
20%
5.86
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.5pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural Leonesa The Market 36%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
0.72/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.16
-38% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 Passes 348
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 2-0 HT 2-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
31.03.2024 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 2-0 HT 2-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
12.11.2023 Lugo Lugo 0-3 HT 0-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
04.08.2018 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-2 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo HAZ
13.05.2018 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-1 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
10.12.2017 Lugo Lugo 3-1 HT 0-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
1-4
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa cruised past Lugo 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 29%) promised a tight game; Cultural Leonesa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lugo had 51% of the ball to Cultural Leonesa's 49%, shots finished 5-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cultural Leonesa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lugo and 1.67 for Cultural Leonesa.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa?

Lugo 1-4 Cultural Leonesa in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lugo 40%, draw 30%, Cultural Leonesa 29%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lugo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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