Cacereno 1-0 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.74
Over
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
44%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo The Market 22%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.46/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.31
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2024 Colonia Moscardo 1-2 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
1-0
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
57% Ball Possession 43%
3 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno squeezed past Colonia Moscardo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cacereno had 57% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 43%, shots finished 3-4.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Colonia Moscardo?

Cacereno 1-0 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 50%, draw 27%, Colonia Moscardo 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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