Linense 0-1 Almeria II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.56
Over
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linense The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria II The Market 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.25/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.60
+3% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +87%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linense
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Almeria II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.09.2024 Almeria II Almeria II 4-1 HT 1-1 Linense Linense İS4
19.01.2014 Almeria II Almeria II 0-1 HT 0-0 Linense Linense İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Linense
0-1
AWAY Almeria II
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Linense vs Almeria II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria II squeezed past Linense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Linense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Linense had 53% of the ball to Almeria II's 47%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Linense and 2.00 for Almeria II.

What was the final score of Linense vs Almeria II?

Linense 0-1 Almeria II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linense vs Almeria II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Linense 41%, draw 29%, Almeria II 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Linense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Linense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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