Pontevedra 4-1 Compostela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.71
Over
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
45%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Compostela The Market 16%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.05/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/2.24
+26% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Compostela
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Compostela Compostela 2-2 HT 0-2 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
14.04.2024 Compostela Compostela 2-2 HT 2-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
03.12.2023 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-0 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
23.01.2022 Compostela Compostela 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
05.09.2021 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-1 HT 1-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
21.02.2021 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-1 HT 0-1 Compostela Compostela İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
4-1
AWAY Compostela
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Compostela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra swept aside Compostela 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Pontevedra had 73% of the ball to Compostela's 27%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pontevedra and 1.17 for Compostela.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Compostela?

Pontevedra 4-1 Compostela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Compostela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 52%, draw 27%, Compostela 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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