Real Aviles 3-0 Bergantinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.59
Over
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergantinos The Market 32%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.34/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.14
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Bergantinos
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Bergantinos Bergantinos 4-1 HT 1-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
05.02.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-0 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
18.09.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 3-1 HT 1-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
08.05.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 1-3 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
18.12.2021 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-2 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
3-0
AWAY Bergantinos
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Bergantinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles swept aside Bergantinos 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Aviles found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Aviles had 43% of the ball to Bergantinos's 57%, shots finished 7-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Real Aviles and 2.00 for Bergantinos.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Bergantinos?

Real Aviles 3-0 Bergantinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Bergantinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 39%, draw 28%, Bergantinos 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Aviles), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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