UD Logrones 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.33
No
51%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.0pp
51%
BTTS No
61%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.22/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.27
+36% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
444 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Logrones
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 HT 0-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
11.02.2024 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 HT 0-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
01.10.2023 UD Logrones UD Logrones 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
15.01.2020 UD Logrones UD Logrones 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Logrones
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Logrones vs Deportivo Alaves II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones and Deportivo Alaves II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was UD Logrones at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, UD Logrones had 59% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves II's 41%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves II led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for UD Logrones and 0.75 for Deportivo Alaves II.

What was the final score of UD Logrones vs Deportivo Alaves II?

UD Logrones 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Logrones vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split UD Logrones 52%, draw 25%, Deportivo Alaves II 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UD Logrones), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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