Xerez 1-0 Granada II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.59
Over
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No Pick
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
38%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada II The Market 22%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
0.67/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.18
-56% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Granada II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Granada II Granada II 0-1 HT 0-0 Xerez Xerez İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez
1-0
AWAY Granada II
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Xerez vs Granada II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez nicked a narrow win over Granada II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Xerez as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Xerez had 53% of the ball to Granada II's 47%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of Xerez vs Granada II?

Xerez 1-0 Granada II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez vs Granada II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Xerez 50%, draw 26%, Granada II 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xerez) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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