Werder Bremen 0-2 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.97
Over 2.5
59%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.2
6+ Goals
15%
11.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.54
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
11%
4.58
X/2
11%
7.85
X/X
8%
5.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.0
2/2
12%
5.8
2/X
10%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.55/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.69
+10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
442 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
21.2 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Augsburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.60 xG 0.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
381 Passes 254
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 2-2 HT 2-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
27.04.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 0-3 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
09.12.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
04.03.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
09.09.2022 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0-1 HT 0-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
15.05.2021 Augsburg Augsburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
0-2
AWAY Augsburg
1.34 xG 1.22
71% Ball Possession 29%
20 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
577 Passes 190
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
42 Box Touches 11
46 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg got the better of Werder Bremen 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Werder Bremen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Werder Bremen had 71% of the ball to Augsburg's 29%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.34 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Werder Bremen and 1.17 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Augsburg?

Werder Bremen 0-2 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 47%, draw 24%, Augsburg 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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