Coban Imperial 1-0 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coban Imperial EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.36/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.59
-2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coban Imperial
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Malacateco
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
24.02.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 3-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
28.01.2024 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 4-2 HT 2-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
10.09.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
07.05.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
05.03.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-1 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
POST-MATCH Coban Imperial vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coban Imperial edged past Malacateco 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Coban Imperial as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coban Imperial had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Coban Imperial and 1.00 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Coban Imperial vs Malacateco?

Coban Imperial 1-0 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coban Imperial vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coban Imperial win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Coban Imperial 50%, draw 31%, Malacateco 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coban Imperial), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coban Imperial) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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