FC Juarez vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Juarez v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
FC Juarez vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Juarez 1-0 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
FC Juarez found just enough to beat Cruz Azul 1-0.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Cruz Azul at 60% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
By the numbers, Cruz Azul saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 4-5, expected goals 0.23 to 0.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for FC Juarez against 1.67 for Cruz Azul.
FC Juarez vs Cruz Azul Result & Final Score
FC Juarez 1 - 0 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Juarez vs Cruz Azul Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 17%, draw 23%, Cruz Azul 60%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.