FC Juarez vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Juarez v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
FC Juarez vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
2-2
HT 0-2
Cruz Azul
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
FC Juarez 1-0 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
FC Juarez edged past Cruz Azul 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, FC Juarez had 36% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 64%, shots finished 4-5, expected goals 0.23 to 0.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FC Juarez and 1.67 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Cruz Azul?
FC Juarez 1-0 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 27%, draw 24%, Cruz Azul 49%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.