Tondela vs Maritimo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tondela v Maritimo — Team-Based Signals
Tondela vs Maritimo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Tondela
POR2
1-3
HT 1-1
Tondela
POR
4-2
HT 3-0
Maritimo
POR
2-1
HT 1-1
Maritimo
POR
Tondela 0-0 Maritimo — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela and Maritimo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Tondela at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Tondela had 39% of the ball to Maritimo's 61%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.39 to 0.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Tondela and 1.83 for Maritimo.
What was the final score of Tondela vs Maritimo?
Tondela 0-0 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tondela vs Maritimo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tondela 45%, draw 26%, Maritimo 29%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.