Qatar SC 3-2 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 19 Jan 2026

📅19/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.5
2-3 Goals
34%
2.26
4-5 Goals
29%
2.34
6+ Goals
17%
4.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-6.3pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +65% / +65%
0.67/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-75% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +118% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 79%
5.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qatar SC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.11 xG 2.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
276 Passes 379
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-1 HT 0-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
22.02.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 4-2 HT 2-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
22.09.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
19.05.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATEK
20.12.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-1 HT 0-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
17.08.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 4-4 HT 2-2 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qatar SC
3-2
AWAY Al Gharafa
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qatar SC edged past Al Gharafa 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Qatar SC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Qatar SC had 56% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 44%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Qatar SC and 2.83 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?

Qatar SC 3-2 Al Gharafa in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 19/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qatar SC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Qatar SC 59%, draw 18%, Al Gharafa 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qatar SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Qatar SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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