Avellino vs Casertana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avellino v Casertana — Team-Based Signals
Avellino vs Casertana Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Avellino
İTC
0-2
HT 0-2
Avellino
İTC
3-1
HT 1-1
Casertana
İTC
2-0
HT 2-0
Avellino
İTC
3-0
HT 1-0
Casertana
İTK
Avellino 2-1 Casertana — Actual Match Statistics
Avellino edged past Casertana 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Avellino had 45% of the ball to Casertana's 55%, shots finished 10-7.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Avellino had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Avellino and 0.60 for Casertana.
What was the final score of Avellino vs Casertana?
Avellino 2-1 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avellino vs Casertana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Avellino 46%, draw 30%, Casertana 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.