Sorrento Calcio 1-0 Virtus Francavilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.11
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Francavilla EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -30%
1.35/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.40
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento Calcio
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Virtus Francavilla
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
15.10.2023 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 1-5 HT 1-3 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sorrento Calcio
1-0
AWAY Virtus Francavilla
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sorrento Calcio vs Virtus Francavilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio nicked a narrow win over Virtus Francavilla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Sorrento Calcio found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sorrento Calcio had 55% of the ball to Virtus Francavilla's 45%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Sorrento Calcio vs Virtus Francavilla?

Sorrento Calcio 1-0 Virtus Francavilla in the Italy - Serie C on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento Calcio vs Virtus Francavilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sorrento Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sorrento Calcio 40%, draw 30%, Virtus Francavilla 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sorrento Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sorrento Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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