Legnago Salus 2-1 Fiorenzuola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.4
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorenzuola EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
1.24/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.11
-7% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legnago Salus
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Fiorenzuola
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2023 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola 0-4 HT 0-2 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
02.04.2022 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 1-3 HT 0-1 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola İTC
28.11.2021 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola 1-0 HT 1-0 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legnago Salus
2-1
AWAY Fiorenzuola
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Legnago Salus vs Fiorenzuola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legnago Salus edged past Fiorenzuola 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Legnago Salus as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Legnago Salus had 35% of the ball to Fiorenzuola's 65%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fiorenzuola led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Legnago Salus and 1.33 for Fiorenzuola.

What was the final score of Legnago Salus vs Fiorenzuola?

Legnago Salus 2-1 Fiorenzuola in the Italy - Serie C on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legnago Salus vs Fiorenzuola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legnago Salus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Legnago Salus 41%, draw 28%, Fiorenzuola 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legnago Salus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Legnago Salus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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