Estrela U23 0-1 Maritimo U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 19 Feb 2026

Estrela U23
0-1 HT 0-0
Maritimo U23
📅19/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2025/2026

Estrela U23 vs Maritimo U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estrela U23 v Maritimo U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo U23 EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Estrela U23 0-1 Maritimo U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
0-1
AWAY Maritimo U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Maritimo U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo U23 squeezed past Estrela U23 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Estrela U23 carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 54% of the ball to Maritimo U23's 46%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Maritimo U23?

Estrela U23 0-1 Maritimo U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 19/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Maritimo U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 58%, draw 20%, Maritimo U23 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estrela U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estrela U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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