Farense U23 2-1 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 19 Feb 2026

📅19/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
3.22/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.53
+103% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Portimonense U23
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
08.10.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 1-2 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
08.04.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
29.01.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
30.10.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-2 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
14.08.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
2-1
AWAY Portimonense U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 edged past Portimonense U23 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Farense U23 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Farense U23 had 56% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 44%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Farense U23 and 0.67 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Farense U23 2-1 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 19/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 44%, draw 25%, Portimonense U23 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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