Portimonense U23 0-1 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Dec 2025

📅22/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
14%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.77/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.24
-39% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Farense U23
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 1-2 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
08.04.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
29.01.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
30.10.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-2 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
14.08.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
26.03.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 5-1 HT 2-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
0-1
AWAY Farense U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 nicked a narrow win over Portimonense U23 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Farense U23 made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 52% of the ball to Farense U23's 48%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense U23 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Portimonense U23 and 1.83 for Farense U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Farense U23?

Portimonense U23 0-1 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 35%, draw 30%, Farense U23 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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