Benfica U23 1-0 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Dec 2025

📅22/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.47
Draw
15%
4.19
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.07
Over 2.5
67%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.88
No
39%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
64%
+4.2pp
16%
Draw
21%
-5.1pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.9pp
33%
Under 2.5
44%
-11.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
56%
+11.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
49%
+12.0pp
39%
BTTS No
51%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 19%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.84/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.88
+83% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +114% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Estoril U23
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-1 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
15.04.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 4-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
27.03.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-3 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
28.10.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 4-3 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
13.08.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
12.03.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-0 HT 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
1-0
AWAY Estoril U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 nicked a narrow win over Estoril U23 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 49% of the ball to Estoril U23's 51%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Benfica U23 and 1.50 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23?

Benfica U23 1-0 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 68%, draw 16%, Estoril U23 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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