Estoril U23 1-3 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 27 Mar 2025

📅27/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/2.03
-34% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Benfica U23
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 4-3 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
13.08.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
12.03.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-0 HT 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-3 HT 1-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
07.10.2023 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-4 HT 2-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
1-3
AWAY Benfica U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 got the better of Estoril U23 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 54% of the ball to Benfica U23's 46%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Estoril U23 had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Estoril U23 and 1.80 for Benfica U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23?

Estoril U23 1-3 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 33%, draw 26%, Benfica U23 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →