Estoril U23 4-3 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
40%
3.45
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.21
Over 2.5
41%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
43%
-9.0pp
40%
Draw
25%
+14.7pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
41%
+17.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
59%
-17.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.0pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
289 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Benfica U23
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
12.03.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-0 HT 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-3 HT 1-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
07.10.2023 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-4 HT 2-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
4-3
AWAY Benfica U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 edged past Benfica U23 4-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 40% / 26% — and on the day Estoril U23 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 48% of the ball to Benfica U23's 52%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Estoril U23 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Estoril U23 and 1.50 for Benfica U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23?

Estoril U23 4-3 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 34%, draw 40%, Benfica U23 26%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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