Estrela U23 2-1 Torreense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Dec 2025

📅22/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
55%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
22%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
56%
Away Win
54%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense U23 EU Bookmakers 58%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-30% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
258 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Torreense U23
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2025 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 2-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
02.04.2025 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 4-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
21.01.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 PORU23
16.04.2024 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
2-1
AWAY Torreense U23
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Torreense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 edged past Torreense U23 2-1.

This one beat our numbers. Torreense U23 carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 36% of the ball to Torreense U23's 64%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Torreense U23 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Estrela U23 and 2.00 for Torreense U23.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Torreense U23?

Estrela U23 2-1 Torreense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Torreense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torreense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 20%, draw 25%, Torreense U23 56%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torreense U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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