União de Leiria U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Dec 2025

União de Leiria U23
0-1
Sporting CP U23
📅22/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2025/2026

União de Leiria U23 vs Sporting CP U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

União de Leiria U23 v Sporting CP U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.95/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.00
+1% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

União de Leiria U23 vs Sporting CP U23 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME União de Leiria U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.10.2025 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-1 União de Leiria U23 UŞGB

União de Leiria U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME União de Leiria U23
0-1
AWAY Sporting CP U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH União de Leiria U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 edged past União de Leiria U23 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP U23 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, União de Leiria U23 had 49% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 51%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of União de Leiria U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

União de Leiria U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for União de Leiria U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split União de Leiria U23 25%, draw 28%, Sporting CP U23 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U23), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ Under 2.5
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