Estoril U23 1-1 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
58%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
27%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
19%
+7.5pp
58%
Away Win
67%
-9.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +0%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
219 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Benfica U23
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 4-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
27.03.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-3 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
28.10.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 4-3 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
13.08.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
12.03.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-0 HT 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-3 HT 1-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
1-1
AWAY Benfica U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 and Benfica U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Benfica U23 carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 47% of the ball to Benfica U23's 53%, shots finished 14-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Estoril U23 and 2.17 for Benfica U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23?

Estoril U23 1-1 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 15%, draw 27%, Benfica U23 58%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
25 Oct 2025
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