Benfica U23 4-1 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
62%
-13.2pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-32% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Estoril U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.03.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-3 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
28.10.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 4-3 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
13.08.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
12.03.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-0 HT 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-3 HT 1-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
07.10.2023 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-4 HT 2-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
4-1
AWAY Estoril U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 4
13 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 cruised past Estoril U23 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 56% of the ball to Estoril U23's 44%, shots finished 22-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril U23 led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Benfica U23 and 2.33 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23?

Benfica U23 4-1 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 49%, draw 25%, Estoril U23 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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